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Local-scale climate change impacts using an integrated assessment model

  • 27 October, 2023
  • 13:45
  • VU University Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM)
  • Prof. W.J.W. Botzen
  • Dr O.J. KuikDr F. Estrada Porrua

Climate change impacts are becoming increasingly severe, and we require suitable methodologies to measure the local impacts across a range of climate hazards. In this thesis, I develop a local scale integrated assessment model (IAM) CLIMRISK to measure the inequalities of climate change globally. I describe the workings of the basic model before introducing a novel risk metric of time of emergence of economic impacts (ToEI) in Chapter 2. I proceed by introducing physical impacts of riverine flooding (Chapter 3) and impacts of extreme heat on mortality in EU (Chapter 4). Finally, I revise the damage functions of my IAM using results of a macroeconomic model. The result of my thesis is a multi-scenario, multi-risk model that can be used by policymakers and the research community to explore the inequality of climate change impacts globally.

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Predrag Ignjačević

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